12 for 12 – a Flag, a Gun and a Duck (REDACTED*)
By Kem Butller-Oracle on Jan 24, 2012
By Lyle Ekdahl, Oracle JD Edwards Group Vice President General Manager
Well it is that time of year for predictions. Ok maybe I am a few weeks late but frankly I like to read all the other prediction posts before I stick my neck out. Here are my 12 predictions for 2012:
#12 In late January, early February the biggest ever (bigger than the first two) Oracle JD Edwards Summit will occur with over 500 in the JD Edwards ecosystem converging on Broomfield, Colorado. With 80% confidence, over 90% of the people attending will be interested in getting product updates and building business, not the skiing. Good news since the real snow won’t start till mid-February this year.
#11 Absolutely no one will make a net new ERP acquisition decision based on whether the underlying architecture is OMG model driven. However over 5 0% of all ERP purchase decisions will be made based on mobile device access, UI and or TCO.
#10 Technology acquisitions in the mobile, collaboration and social networking spaces will occur both before and after the US Presidential Election in November.
#9 EnterpriseOne Tools 9.1 will be one of the most successful tools release in the history of JD Edwards with >50% of the customer base updating to this release in the next 12 to 18 months.
#8 Riding on the heels of JD Edwards on iPad and Tools 9.1 release, in calendar 2012 you will see continued major developments and innovation for JD Edwards, of course I cannot tell you what or when given rules of revenue recognition. But by Oracle OpenWorld plus or minus half of the JD Edwards community will recognize the unfolding brilliance of our six year plans.
#7 The Ramones will not do a reunion tour for various reasons, including the fact that several members are no longer with us, but The Conference Room Pilots will cover one of their songs at Collaborate 2012.
#6 More ERP deployments will feature use of tablet devices led by the iPad. This will cause the proponents of the, “it’s only about the business and not technology” school to begin taking anti-depressants.
#5 Moore’s law will not be broken, but several vendors will be cited for attempting it in a cheap marketing stunt.
#4 There will be a growing number, approaching 12%, of new JD Edwards private cloud deployments in every region of the world.
#3 I will be involved in cheap marketing stunts at both Collaborate and Oracle OpenWorld potentially involving a flag, a duck and a gun.
#2 The world WILL NOT end on December 22, 2012 – however an increasing number of World customers citing a lesser known vision of Quetzalcoatl, will begin to move off A7.3 to the 9’s.
#1 The 2012 lists of colossal ERP failures and related lawsuits will continue to feature (>70% of the list) the same vendor that those lists have featured for the last decade. Maybe someday selection committees will do their homework and “zombie” CIO’s will wake up but unfortunately it won’t be in 2012.
So there you have it – my 12 for 12. In 2013 let’s revisit and see if I have a career option in prognostication.
*- Oracle blog policy prohibits executives from making specific forward-looking statements. The Editor.