Friday Apr 26, 2013

Watch the New Crystal Ball 3-Minute Demo Video

How do you deal with the Uncertainty and Risk in your Forecasts and Plans?

Crystal Ball helps users to forecast and plan more accurately in a range of applications and industries:

  • Future projected sales revenues
  • Project cost contingencies
  • Oil & Gas reserve level estimations
  • Lean and Six Sigma specifications
  • Inventory optimization……………… and many more!

Find out more watch our 3 minute video here

Wednesday Apr 24, 2013

Register today for Oracle's 4th Annual Virtual Summit - June 13, 2013

Discover why Primavera is the #1 multi-initiative Project Portfolio Management Solution to help you achieve financial discipline, operational excellence and risk mitigation.

Attend live presentations about best practices, case studies and  industry solutions. Learn about the latest PPM Products from cloud based Unifier and  Instantis to Primavera P6 new release.Visit the Exhibit Hall to chat with Oracle PPM experts and partners.  

Check out the Resource Library to access valuable content, whitepapers and videos.

And don't forget to stop by the Networking Lounge to connect with your peers and make new connections.

Don’t miss this unparalleled opportunity to attend Primavera's most eagerly awaited virtual event! Join June 13th, 2013 - 10:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 a.m. – 2:00 p.m. PT

Register today!

Tuesday Jan 22, 2013

On-Demand Webcast: Enhance Financial Planning and Forecasting through Predictive Modeling

Register today for our on-demand Webcast.

Planning and forecasting can be challenging with traditional planning applications and manual modeling techniques.

Today, leading companies are adding predictive modeling to bring statistical techniques such as Monte Carlo simulation into the mix. Sound too math-intense and complicated? Not anymore. Join our webcast and hear speaker: Hilary Emmett, Crystal Ball Solution Specialist.

Monday Nov 26, 2012

Live Webcast: Crystal Ball: Simulation of production uncertainty in unconventional reservoirs - November 29

In our webcast on 29 November, Oracle solution specialist Steve Hoye explains how you can effectively forecast EURs for unconventional reservoirs – supporting better investment decisions and reducing financial exposure and risk.

Attend the webcast to find out how your Oil & Gas industry can:

  • Use historical production data and data from other unconventional reservoirs to generate accurate production forecasts
  • Conduct Monte Carlo simulations in minutes to model likely declines in production rates over time
  • Accurately predict probable EURs to inform investment decisions
  • Assess the site against key criteria, such as Value at Risk and Likelihood of Economic Success.

Don't miss this opportunity to learn new techniques for mitigating financial risk across your unconventional reservoir projects. Register online today.

"Oracle Crystal Ball is involved in every major investment decision that we make for wells." Hugh Williamson, Risk and Cost Advisor, Drilling and Completions, BP

Tuesday Nov 06, 2012

Merck Serono Gains Deep Understanding of Product Portfolio Value-Drivers, Risks, and Sales Expectations Through Forecasting Solution

Merck Serono S.A. is the biopharmaceutical division of Merck KGaA. It offers leading brands in 150 countries to help patients with cancer, multiple sclerosis, infertility, endocrine and metabolic disorders, as well as cardiovascular diseases.

Challenges:

  • Establish a better decision-making framework for its complex, development portfolio of pharmaceutical products, where single-point estimates or expected averages of portfolio values, portfolio risks, and sales forecasts are insufficient and can be misleading
  • Enable the company to be aware at all times of the range of possible outcomes of technical and market risks and uncertainties, such as the technical uncertainty of whether a product will produce the desired clinical outcomes, or the market-related uncertainty of whether a product will be outperformed by its competitors

Solutions to Overcome the Challenges:

  • Used Oracle Crystal Ball to devise a Monte-Carlo-based approach to better analyze and define the values and risks of the company’s development portfolio, laying the groundwork for optimized decision-making
  • Enabled a better understanding of the range of potential values and risks to improve portfolio planning
  • Enabled detailed analysis of the likelihood of favorable or unfavorable outcomes, such as the likelihood of whether Merck Serono can meet its sales targets planned for the next ten years with its existing product portfolio
  • Gained the ability to take into account correlative risks, synergies and project interactions, enabling Merck Serono to better forecast what the company may achieve—for example, that there is a 70% probability of a particular sales target being met
  • Established Monte-Carlo-based analysis using Oracle Crystal Ball as a useful element in decision-making at the board level, as the approach provides a better analysis of values and risks associated with the company’s product portfolio

“Oracle Crystal Ball enables us to make Monte Carlo simulations of the potential value and sales of our development portfolio. It is a very powerful tool for gaining a thorough understanding and improved awareness of value drivers, uncertainties, and risks, along with associated probabilities.” – Riccardo Lampariello, Associate Director, Merck Serono S.A

Why Oracle

“We chose Oracle Crystal Ball to enable us to perform Monte Carlo analysis, which gives us a deeper understanding and improved awareness of the value drivers, uncertainties and risks of our portfolio of development projects,” said Kimber Hardy, head of valuation and analysis, Merck Serono S.A.

Click here to read the full version of the customer success story

Friday Oct 26, 2012

Crystal Ball Live Webcast: Expert insight from EpiX Analytics

Register today for the November 2nd live Crystal Ball webcast- Expert insight from EpiX Analytics: Techniques for Improved Risk Management and Decision-Making

Join our speaker Dr Huybert Groenendaal, PhD, MSc, MBA, EpiX Analytics LLC and learn how to realize the full value of decision-making techniques, and:

Gain insight into risks and uncertainties

Account for risk in quantitative analysis and decision making

Generate a range of possible outcomes and the probabilities they will occur for any choice of action

Learn best practice for the use of Crystal Ball to support decision making in your own environment

Learn how to avoid common mistakes when using Monte Carlo simulations

Maximize your existing investment in spreadsheet technology

Register now for this November 2nd live webcast and don't miss this opportunity to learn how you can model, predict and forecast with better results.

For more information view the evite.

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